central bank digital currency china, Featured

2024-12-14 10:37:11

Finally, the 5-day support is still the same, and then focus on 3489.78 points. Today, the Shanghai Composite Index continued to repair and rebound on the 5th line, and at the same time, it has broken through the middle line suppression of the false negative line on Tuesday, but the key point is to see whether the next closing price can stand at 3489.78 points. I still hold the same view as before. If the daily line closes at 3,489.78 points, we should focus on prevention after the departure signal appears.However, if we continue to shake and consolidate below this point, the risk of the broader market will not be great, so let me remind you that before the logic of judging the small high point has not changed, we can continue to watch more and move less. After all, today's reversal is mainly driven by favorable+mysterious funds entering the market, rather than the real offensive kinetic energy of the market.Next, let's look at the prospect of tonight's heavy meeting. Raising deficit ratio and issuing extra-long-term special government bonds were also expected before, and then we will wait for the specific figures to be announced. There is one thing that is worthy of recognition, that is, the A-shares must be launched above, but the robot has ebbed, and the acceleration of consumption here will prevent it from dying after the final policy is implemented.


This wave of market rose for 12 days, only fell for 3 days in the middle, but the increase was only 6.19%, which was a proper slow pace! Next, either the volume is accelerated, or the high probability is to step back and gain momentum before breaking through. In response, you can wait and see by holding shares. If the short-term rise is high, remember to drop the bag and adjust the position. If this wave underperforms the market, it will be enough to make up for the increase with performance support.A-shares: A sudden positive reversal of black Thursday, tomorrow, the stock market will once again break through 3500 points?To sum up, the repair and rebound in the past two days have not changed the judgment logic of the small high point. Although I am still optimistic about the market outlook, after careful measurement, I find that it is still very difficult to continue to accelerate after the market breaks through a new high. The current price-volume coordination is not supported for the time being. Therefore, I still tend to take the initiative to step back and gain momentum before I enter the acceleration cycle.


However, if we continue to shake and consolidate below this point, the risk of the broader market will not be great, so let me remind you that before the logic of judging the small high point has not changed, we can continue to watch more and move less. After all, today's reversal is mainly driven by favorable+mysterious funds entering the market, rather than the real offensive kinetic energy of the market.In terms of sectors, except for instruments, semiconductors, optics and optoelectronics, the sectors of other industries generally rose today. Of course, commercial department stores and consumption directions still led the rise. There are several details in the session that need to be noted. After 10 o'clock, consumption stagflation fell, and then the market for drinking and taking medicine resumed. What really reversed the decline was the strength of the big financial collective, which led the index to a wave of turnaround.To sum up, the repair and rebound in the past two days have not changed the judgment logic of the small high point. Although I am still optimistic about the market outlook, after careful measurement, I find that it is still very difficult to continue to accelerate after the market breaks through a new high. The current price-volume coordination is not supported for the time being. Therefore, I still tend to take the initiative to step back and gain momentum before I enter the acceleration cycle.

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